The Economy: Why It's Worse Than You Think »
Posted By TechnologyExpert 4 months ago in Business & FinanceFor months, economic Pollyannas have looked beyond the dismal headlines and promised a quick recovery in the second half. They're dead wrong.
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Comments So Far: 111
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GWHayduke4 months ago
Thats right.....just yesterday Ben Bernanke said that things look to be clearing up, "the worst appears to be over."
That despite the likelihood that '08 will see a record number of bankruptcies and increasing interest rates to stave off greater inflation. Too late for most.
Very smart guy, very bad politician.
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Teech4 months ago
Ben. Listen to your boss! To bolster the dollar, Just keep printing money. To get out of a hole, dig faster! To get out of debt, borrow more money. When faced with overwhelming and irrefutable evidence that you made a mistake, fire the messenger and lie. But, don't admit a mistake and change policy cuz that's called "flip flopping." To put out a fire, throw gasoline on it....but not too much, the stuff is getting seriously expensive.
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earthlingerer4 months ago
Yeah, he should just be a man and choose his death... Inflation or Recession.
Or else Depression.
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libsRfunny4 months ago
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libsRfunny4 months ago
"That despite the likelihood that '08 will see a record number of bankruptcies and increasing interest rates to stave off greater inflation. Too late for most."
The dollar just gained on the Euro today and reached it's greatest value against the Euro since 2005. Not everything is gloomy.
FTA:
"On Friday, the Labor Department reported that American employers axed 49,000 jobs in May, the fifth straight month of job losses..."
I wonder how many of those jobs were minimum wage jobs lost due to the mandated increase in minimum wage.
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nikkibabe4 months ago
Yet to come:
. more foreclosures
. more bankruptcies
. airlines going out of business
. unemployment
. out of reach gas prices
. out of reach food prices
. jump in food stamps use
. more handouts, thanks China
. bank failures with unpaid home equity loans
. more tax cuts to top 1% (thanks McCain)
. end of employer offered medical benefits (thanks McCain)
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saintetienne4 months ago
. more foreclosures
. more bankruptcies
. unemployment
. out of reach gas prices
. out of reach food prices
. jump in food stamps use
. more handouts
. bank failures
Hmmmm..... sounds like FDR's America, circa 1937.
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walden34 months ago
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nostalgia4 months ago
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walden34 months ago
I agree. In my town there is a huge Brazilian population. Less of them are coming here because of our economy. I had some wood delivered last week. The guy was Brazilian. He told me that he's been in the US for 22 years and never saw the economy as bad as it is now.
I think the real threat from Mexico is some political, cultural or environmental disaster in Mexico that prompts millions to storm across our border. Mexico is hanging on by a thread. It's close to civil war.
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Jaydee404 months ago
last month one source on the CBC page put US inflation on food alone at 5%.
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nostalgia4 months ago
"As it seeks to regain its footing in the second half, the U.S. economy faces two significant obstacles, neither of which was evident in 2001. The first is entirely homegrown: the self-inflicted wounds of the promiscuous extension and abuse of credit in the housing and financial sectors."
MSNBC has an interesting article about the subprime mess:
How HUD's mortgage policy fed the crisis
Agency labeled risky loans 'affordable' and finance firms bought them up
In 2004, as regulators warned that subprime lenders were saddling borrowers with mortgages they could not afford, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development helped fuel more of that risky lending.
Eager to put more low-income and minority families into their own homes, the agency required that two government-chartered mortgage finance firms purchase far more "affordable" loans made to these borrowers.
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nostalgia4 months ago
HUD stuck with an outdated policy that allowed Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae to count billions of dollars they invested in subprime loans as a public good that would foster affordable housing.
Housing experts and some congressional leaders now view those decisions as mistakes that contributed to an escalation of subprime lending.
Lower-income and minority home buyers -- those who were supposed to benefit from HUD's actions -- are falling into default at a rate at least three times that of other borrowers.
Since HUD became their regulator in 1992, Fannie and Freddie each year are supposed to buy a portion of "affordable" mortgages made to underserved borrowers. Every four years, HUD reviews the goals to adapt to market changes.
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nostalgia4 months ago
In 1995, President Bill Clinton's HUD agreed to let Fannie and Freddie get affordable-housing credit for buying subprime securities that included loans to low-income borrowers. The idea was that subprime lending benefited many borrowers who did not qualify for conventional loans. HUD expected that Freddie and Fannie would impose their high lending standards on subprime lenders.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25053787
Gee is anyone surprised that the government mnaaged to create this crsis - all in the name of "helping"
When are we ever going to learn????
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jimdoze4 months ago
I never expected a quick recovery.
The economy WILL be made worse if the majority of the populace can be made to believe, by November, that the way to recovery is through greater taxation.
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nostalgia4 months ago
Don't worry!
Obama has the answer:
Jun. 10, 2008 at a speech in NC
Obama proposed another stimulus package to help revive the economy, a new effort to help people threatened with home foreclosure and tax relief for the middle class.
http://www.charlotte.com/breaking_news/story/66...
Never mind that many Americans have not even received the first stimulus checks yet
He's ready to send a second one
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saintetienne4 months ago
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Beau78904 months ago
nostalgia, I don't see anything in the link you posted about Obama proposing sending stimulus checks, and particularly not to every American whether he needs it or not.
Obama wants to help those in need. I know many out here have a problem with that, but it sure as hell is a better idea than buying votes outright, which is what the $300 "tax rebate" in 2001 that Bush promised while running for president, or the $600 one now that he proposed in order to get the Democrats--the fiscally responsible ones--to vote against so Republicans could say the Democrats voted against giving us money.
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Teech4 months ago
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jimdoze4 months ago
Warren Buffett? You mean the famous investor who placed his fortune in the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to avoid paying estate taxes? He must believe, in his heart, that assets handled privately are better and more efficiently employed than assets turned over to the government. He could have let nature take its course and let the executor of his estate eventually write a huge check to the Feds. He could still sell or hypothecate his assets and write the check himself. Why doesn't he?
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walden34 months ago
No really everything is fine. Oil isn't trading at a record, the market didn't take 400 points last Friday, unemployment isn't at record levels, the dollar didn't lost 40% of its value in the last ten years, homes aren't being lost at record levels, Lehman didn't declare a loss of $3 Billion, my 401k isn't flat.
All is good. The future is bright.
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bigurn4 months ago
Walden,
Some perspective, please. Gas prices are high, but not on an inflation-adjusted basis to 1979 or 1973. The market lost 400 points due to an unexpected rise in jobless claims; it will recover. The jobless claims are *not* due to layoffs; there weren't 600,000 layoffs last month. They are apparently due to the influx of new entrants to the job market - graduated high school seniors. They now count in the unemployment percentage as adults. Many of the minimum wage companies reduced head count because of the hike in the minimum wage. These 600M people will eventually be absorbed.
The dollar is a worry, and I don't see a plan to solidify it. The home foreclosure is largely due to individuals taking on more house than they could reasonably afford, and the lending industries and government enabling their greed.
When I was a kid in 1979, unemployment was 14%, inflation was 17%, and a house loan could be secured at a "good" rate of 11%. Thank Jimmy Carter.
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walden34 months ago
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